Here is your updated forecast from the KLBK First Warning Weather Center as of Saturday afternoon:
Short Term Forecast:
*** Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Cottle, Dickens, King and Motley County until 10:00 PM. ***
Scattered shower and thunderstorms will continue to develop this afternoon and into the evening across the Rolling Plains and portions of the South Plains. Any thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. The tornado threat is low but not zero. Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening will move off to the northeast. The better chance for severe weather is across the far eastern South Plains and all of the Rolling Plains. The severe weather threat should end later this evening.
Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase overnight as a cold front moves into the South Plains and the Rolling Plains. Some storms could be strong, but I don’t expect the severe weather threat to continue overnight. Models show a few spots could see some locally heavy rainfall overnight and into Sunday morning.
Rain chances will end Sunday morning, but we have another chance for showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and into Sunday evening. At the moment, the Storm Prediction Center does not have any of the South Plains or Rolling Plains outlined in a risk for severe weather on Sunday.
Lows tonight will range from the upper 50s to the lower 60s. Highs on Sunday will be cooler, with lower to middle 70s expected. Expect mostly cloudy conditions to continue this evening, overnight and on Sunday.
Extended Forecast:
Scattered thunderstorms will remain in the forecast for the next several days across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains. Rain chances will decrease to the isolated category by the middle and later half the week. The better rain chances will be Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Isolated storms along and east of the dryline are expected for the middle to later part of the week.
Highs will be cooler on Sunday, with only lower to middle 70s expect. Highs will remain below average for the first part of the week in the upper 70s to very low 80s. We’ll warm back into the middle 80s by Wednesday. It will get warmer by the later half of the week with highs back into the lower and middle 90s.
Low temperatures will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s Sunday morning. Otherwise, lows will remain the 60s this week across the area.
Drought Update:
Recent rainfall continues to help alleviate the drought across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains. Because of the data cut-off time (early Tuesdays), this week’s update doesn’t take into account all of the rainfall we’ve picked up. That will be represented in the upcoming update this coming Thursday.
Overall, severe to exceptional drought continue across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains.
Lubbock Climate Data for Sunday, May 20:
Sunrise: 6:43 a.m.
Sunset: 8:45 p.m.
Normal High: 85°
Normal Low: 57°
Record High: 102° (2006)
Record Low: 40° (1931)
Your KLBK First Warning Forecast:
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe and produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. The chance for rain is 50-percent.
Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Then a chance for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy and cooler with highs in the lower to middle 70s. Northeasterly wind 10-15 mph. The chance for rain is 40-percent.
Sunday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Otherwise mostly cloudy with lows inthe lower 60s. Easterly wind 10-15 mph. The chance for rain is 40-percent.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeasterly wind 10-15 mph. The chance for rain is 40-percent.
Meteorologist Chris Whited
KLBK First Warning Weather
cwhited@klbk13.tv
Facebook: Meteorologist Chris Whited
Twitter: @severewxchaser